Game 39 Hub: Ottawa Senators @ Detroit Red Wings

The Senators finish their 9-game road trip in Detroit as they face the Red Wings in a crucial match-up

Game 39 Hub: Ottawa Senators @ Detroit Red Wings
Photo by Doug Zuba / Unsplash

After three long weeks and nine games, tonight is finally the last game of the Ottawa Senators' gruelling road trip. Yes, technically they've been able to go home twice, but nine games in a row on the road is never easy. They started very strong with three wins against Seattle, Calgary, and Vancouver, but they've gone 1-4-0 over the past five games, which has let other teams behind them catch up. These are the standings as of this morning, with an incredible number of teams in the mix:

Tonight's game in Detroit is massive not only to get the Senators back on track but also because the Red Wings have gotten hot and Ottawa cannot afford to let them be tied in points. Here are the projected lines:

Forsberg is expected to start:

Looks like Anton Forsberg is starting tonight.

Alex Adams (@alexadamssn.bsky.social) 2025-01-07T18:34:07.819Z

And this is how Detroit's lines look:

Game Notes:

  • Jacob Bernard-Docker was injured yesterday in practice and it didn't look great. They announced he'll be out 5-7 weeks with a high ankle sprain, so Nikolas Matinpalo will get a chance to prove himself on the third pairing.
  • The Red Wings have won four games in a row, putting themselves in a much better spot than before the Christmas break. They're still a very flawed team though as you'll see in the team stats below, but no teams can be underestimated when every point is critical.
  • Ottawa has had Detroit's number in recent years, winning the previous four matchups and 13-2-1 over their last 16 games against the Red Wings.
  • Lucas Raymond, Dylan Larkin, and Alex DeBrincat are all on hot streaks, with Raymond at three goals and five assists in the last five games, Larkin at four goals and three assists in five games, and DeBrincat at four goals and three assists in four games.
  • Meanwhile, the Senators offense has been incredibly cold. They have just eight goals in their last five games, and they only have more than three goals once in their last 10. The flu bug has been going around the team though, so hopefully they will look more lively as soon as tonight.
  • With a win tonight, Ottawa will be 5-4-0 on this road trip, which would definitely be a success. But if they lose and go 4-5-0 (or 4-4-1), it would be fine but look much worse considering they won their first three. Let's hope they end on a strong note.

Team Stats:

Game 39 Senators Penguins
Category # Rank # Rank
Goals/GP 2.95 20th 2.72 25th
Goals against/GP 2.89 12th 3.23 25th
Shots/GP 29.6 9th 25.3 32nd
Shots against/GP 27.3 9th 29.4 26th
Powerplay % 24.2 7th 26.3 4th
Penalty Kill % 77.8 21st 69.8 31st
Corsi % (5v5 SVA) 51.28 10th 46.27 29th
xGF% (5v5 SVA) 50.51 15th 45.4 29th

Player Stats:

Senators Red Wings
Category Player # Player #
Goals Brady Tkachuk 17 Alex DeBrinct 17
Assists Tim Stützle 28 Lucas Raymond 25
Points Tim Stützle 40 Lucas Raymond 41
Shots Brady Tkachuk 155 Dylan Larkin 108
TOI/GP Jake Sanderson 24:18:00 Moritz Seider 25:01:00

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